Three primaries left: Obama within 49 delegates of nomination.
The DNC is meeting on Saturday to determine what to do, if anything, about Michigan and Florida. Obama followed the rules, Hillary has reneged on following the rules because she’s a sore loser and a bitch.
What should happen: Obama took his name off the ballot in Michigan, therefore the Michigan contest was a Russian/Zimbabwean/take-your-pick style election between one person and herself. Still, over 40% of Michigan voters chose “not Hillary.” As Obama was not on the ballot, Michigan should not be counted at all. As for Florida, they were both on the ballot, so Obama and Hillary (at the time) followed the rules and did not campaign there. The rules stated that if Michigan and Florida held their primaries early, they would be stripped of their delegates. So, by the metric of facts and reason, neither state’s delegates should be counted, and Obama shouldn’t have to negotiate anything at all, since by the rules, he has won a majority of all pledged delegates (and the popular vote), and thus, the nomination.
However, Obama is only 49 delegates away from the nomination as it stands. A total of 86 delegates are available in Puerto Rico, South Dakota, and Montana. Hillary is expected to win Puerto Rico, while Obama is expected to win South Dakota and Montana. If Obama wins a mere half of the available remaining delegates, he’s six away from the nomination. Marc Ambinder from the Atlantic reports that “[s]ources close to the campaign estimate that as many as three dozen Democratic superdelegates have privately pledged to announce their support for Obama on June 4 or 5.” And that’s just what we know about. In all likelihood, the majority of remaining superdelegates will declare their support for Obama in the days after the last primaries, June 3.
Hillary Clinton is over 200 delegates behind Obama. By no reasonable metric should or would the DNC award her enough delegates to pull even with Obama, especially since he’s the one who’s consistently played by the rules. Superdelegates are going to rally behind Obama. The point is…Clinton people, he’s got this thing. It’s time to move past it and look toward November, because regardless of your feelings about Obama or this primary campaign, trust me when I say that McCain is far, far worse.
This entry was posted on May 27, 2008 at 10:41 pm and is filed under Election that will never end, President Obama with tags Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.